A Série A do Campeonato Brasileiro abriu, nesse sábado (24), com oito jogos, sua 32ª rodada. Os resultados mexem parcialmente com as probabilidades do Brasileirão, já que ainda há duas partidas a serem realizadas nesta segunda-feira (26), que mexem tanto na briga contra o rebaixamento quanto na disputa pelo título e por vaga na Libertadores.
Coritiba x Grêmio , às 19h30Flamengo x Atlético-MG , às 20h Na acirrada disputa contra a queda, quem se deu mal foi o Corinthians. O time do técnico Clarence Seedorf foi derrotado em confronto direto pelo Vasco e viu o risco de descenso subir para 62,3%. Já o Internacional, que venceu o Botafogo em casa, conseguiu sair da zona de rebaixamento. Agora, seu risco de queda está na casa de 30%.
Após a abertura da rodada, o Departamento de Matemática da UFMG aponta que quem alcançar 42 pontos tem uma boa chance de permanência: 67,2%. Com um ponto a mais, 43, a possibilidade sobe para 87,2%.
Probabilidades após a abertura da 32ª rodada – navegue pelas abas
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Título
Libertadores
Sul-Americana
Rebaixamento
#
Time
Prob.(%)
Probabilidade de ser campeão — Brasileirão Série A 2026
#
Time
Prob.(%)
G5 Libertadores 2027 — Brasileirão Série A 2026
#
Time
Prob.(%)
Copa Sul-Americana 2027 — Brasileirão Série A 2026
#
Time
Prob.(%)
Probabilidade de rebaixamento — Brasileirão Série A 2026
Fonte: Departamento de Matemática da UFMG
Riscos e chances de acordo com a pontuação no Brasileirão
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Libertadores
Sul-Americana
Rebaixamento
Título
PTS
Prob.(%)
Pontuação necessária para a Libertadores 2027 (G5) — Brasileirão Série A 2026
PTS
Prob.(%)
Pontuação necessária para a Copa Sul-Americana 2027 — Brasileirão Série A 2026
PTS
Prob.(%)
Probabilidade de rebaixamento por pontuação — Brasileirão Série A 2026
PTS
Prob.(%)
Pontuação necessária para ser campeão — Brasileirão Série A 2026
Fonte: Departamento de Matemática da UFMG
Tabela atualizada do Brasileirão
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